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  • College Football Playoff: SMU at Penn State – prediction, odds, expert picks, QBs, betting trends, and stats

    College Football Playoff: SMU at Penn State – prediction, odds, expert picks, QBs, betting trends, and stats

    Outside of a 18-15 Week 3 loss to a 10-2 BYU team, SMU (11-2) ran through their 60th ranked ACC schedule to go undefeated in conference play during their maiden Power Four campaign. A 28-27 victory over @Duke (9-3) carried the lowest win expectancy of SMU’s wins at 74%, which showcases the dominant nature of the Mustangs’ success. Their offense ranks 4th nationally in SP+ with their lethal pass attack placing 11th nationally in EPA/dropback and 9th in yards per successful dropback (17.7). The SMU rushing attack is clearly the weakest unit on the team, ranking 73rd in rush success rate and 118th in YAC (2.15). It couldn’t be any different on the defensive side, as their defensive front is holding opponents to 7.4 yards per successful rush (3rd in FBS) and an outstanding .75 yards before contact allowed (9th). The SMU secondary is also a sound unit that ranks 10th in pass success rate and 16th in QBR allowed.

    The Nittany Lions (11-2) cruised through the first half with their closest victory being a thrilling Week 7, 33-30 comeback win over @USC with PSU recording an 86%-win expectancy. Outside of that game, each of their other 10 victories carried near perfect 94%+ win expectations with Penn State demonstrating a comprehensive mastery of their B10 regular season schedule, aside from OSU of course. OC Andy Kotelnicki’s offense ranks 2nd in success rate, 5th in EPA/play and 2nd in marginal efficiency. There are flaws though as PSU’s offense lacks big play ability, ranking a dismal 92nd in yards per successful play and 63rd in yards per successful rush. The Nittany Lions Defense has been elite once again, ranking 7th in SP+ with their topflight secondary allowing just 5.2 yards per dropback (14th). Projected Top 10 2025 NFL Draft selection Abdul Carter leads a pass rush that ranks 25th overall with a 7.8% sack rate and 9th with a 42.3% pressure rate.

    NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

    Listen to the B1G Talk podcast with Todd Blackledge and Noah Eagle for the most compelling storylines across all of college football, with the biggest teams on the rise and the latest rankings!

    Game Details and How to watch the 2024 College Football Playoff: SMU at Penn State

    · Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
    · Time: 12:00 PM EST
    · Site: Beaver Stadium
    · City: University Park, PA
    · TV/Streaming: TNT/Max

    Want to check out the other games on the College Football schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

    Game odds for SMU at Penn State

    • Moneyline: Penn State (-350), SMU (+270)
    • Spread: Penn State -8.5
    • Over/Under: 52.5 points

    The spread opened at Penn State -8 but has since inched up to -9 in some spots and could steam up to the key number of -10 by kickoff. PSU’s moneyline dropped at -298 and is up to a high of -350, while SMU has improved from +240 to +270. The game total opened at 52.5 but that has since spiked to a high of 54.

    NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

    NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks:
    “SMU’s defense has allowed 24+ points in 7 games this year and have scored 28+ in all but one contest. Both teams were involved in competitive Conference Championship games that easily cleared their game total Overs. SMU showed that they can play from behind against a strong defense like Clemson, which is the likely scenario against Penn State’s extremely efficient offense that ranks 2nd in success rate. I think these two offenses execute well enough to clear the 52.5 game total, and think it steadily continues to increase as the game draws closer.”

    Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

    Quarterback matchup for College Football Playoff – SMU at Penn State

    • Penn State: Five-star QB Drew Allar has been the unquestioned starter for the last two seasons after spending a one-year apprenticeship to Sean Clifford. Allar ranks 12th nationally with an 86th percentile PFF overall grade and has been exceptional navigating the pocket, rating 8th in FBS with a 71st% under-pressure grade. As a team, PSU ranks 2nd in passing success rate and is achieving first down yardage on 61.8% of their completions (6th). With Allar entering his third, and potentially final, season in Happy Valley, this may be Penn State’s best chance in the near future to secure a National Championship.
    • SMU: Heading into fall camp conventional wisdom had former four-star QB Preston Stone reprising his 2023 role as SMU’s starting quarterback. However, QB Kevin Jennings wowed the coaching staff in fall camp to the point that HC Rhett Lashlee committed to giving him reps in the season opener. That arrangement lasted three weeks until Jennings finally secured the starting job in their 18-15 loss to BYU. He went onto complete 66.1% of his throws for 3,072 yards, a 22-to-8 ratio and 8.8 yards per attempt which ranks 7th best among Power Four signal callers. He boasts advanced ability to escape the rush, as is evidenced by a 12.2% pressure-to-sack rate, and an 85.3 PFF passing grade.

    SMU at Penn State: Betting trends & recent stats

    • Star Penn State TE Tyler Warren ranks 1st among Power Four tight ends with 112 targets. Penn State Tight Ends have produced 19 receptions of 20+ yards this season, 2nd-most among FBS programs.
    • RB Nicholas Singleton has rushed for 10 or more yards on 19.8% of 131 carries this season, 7th-best among qualified Power Four running backs. SMU’s defense has allowed 10+ yards on just 7.7% of carries this season, best among ACC defenses.
    • Penn State is 1-6 (.143) against the spread when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season, worst among Power Conference Teams. (Average: .432)
    • Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 364 attempts this season, tied for 20th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season, best among ACC defenses.
    • Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 195 of 807 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season, best among Power Conference programs.
    • Penn State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 3 of 679 attempts since the 2023 season, best in FBS.
    • SMU has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams.
    • WR Roderick Daniels has committed 6 fumbles this season, most among Power Conference skill players
    • SMU has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 34 of 443 carries this season, 5th-best in FBS.
    • SMU’s offense has thrown for 3,471 passing yards in 13 games this season, 26th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 178.5 passing yards per game this season, 16th-best among FBS defenses.
    • SMU has allowed 106.5 yards from scrimmage per game to running backs this season, 4th-best among Power Conference Teams.
    • QB Kevin Jennings has completed 70% of passes (62 completions/89 net pass attempts) on 3rd down this season, 3rd-best among FBS Quarterbacks.

    BetMGM College Football Insights: National Championship

    “Oregon, Georgia and Texas are the favorites to win the College Football Playoff. We will be cheering for the chalk as all three of those teams are good results for the sportsbook.” – Cameron Drucker, Senior Trader, BetMGM

    Line movement (Open to Now)

    • Oregon +900 to +350
    • Texas +1000 to +350
    • Georgia +500 to +375
    • Ohio State +700 to +475

    Highest Ticket%

    • Ohio State 12.6%
    • Texas 10.7%
    • Georgia 9.6%

    Highest Handle%

    • Ohio State 15.9%
    • Alabama 13.1%
    • Georgia 13.0%

    Biggest Liabilities

    • Alabama
    • Colorado
    • Ohio State

    College Football talk is taking over Bet the Edge every Thursday throughout the season. BET THE EDGE is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Vaughn Dalzell, Eric Froton, and Brad Thomas’ insights Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

    Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

    Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

    • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
    • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
    • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
    • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
    • Eric Froton (@CFFroton)



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  • Early Citrus Bowl game picks

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  • College Football Playoff expert picks: Alabama or SMU in last spot? Notre Dame, Texas or Penn State at No. 5?

    College Football Playoff expert picks: Alabama or SMU in last spot? Notre Dame, Texas or Penn State at No. 5?

    The SMU versus Alabama debate for the final at-large bid in the 2025 College Football Playoff has understandably stolen the spotlight entering Selection Sunday. There is also significant consternation about how the first few teams outside the top four conference champions will be decided. Ultimately, how the committee interprets those league title game results will have ripple effects throughout the field. 

    Let’s start with the debate over the final at-large bid.

    Alabama held that spot in last Tuesday’s penultimate CFP Rankings, and it looked in good shape to maintain that slot after CFP chairman Warde Manuel said the rankings were locked for teams not playing conference championship weekend.

    However, there was a doomsday scenario: Clemson pulling off an upset over SMU in the ACC Championship Game with the Mustangs playing well enough to warrant a spot in the field.

    Unfortunately for the Crimson Tide, that’s exactly what happened Saturday night. Clemson freshman kicker Nolan Hauser’s 56-yard walk-off game-winning field goal not only propelled the Tigers into the field as an automatic qualifier but gave SMU a more-than-reasonable chance to receive an at-large bid.

    SMU (11-2) has fewer losses than Alabama (9-3) but exists in a similar space as Miami (FL) in that it lacks resume-boosting wins. The Mustangs are 0-2 against top 25 opponents, while Alabama has a 3-1 record against teams, including a win over newly crowned SEC champion Georgia. Furthermore, Alabama’s strength of schedule (18th) is considerably better than that of SMU (75th) as the Tide’s opponents had a combined record of 82-50 while the Mustangs’ were 83-75. 

    The SMU case? Well, it went undefeated during ACC regular-season play (8-0), and its two losses are nowhere near as bad as Alabama’s 21-point defeat to 6-6 Oklahoma (in which Bama scored 3 points) or its road loss to 6-6 Vanderbilt. SMU’s wins against Louisville and Pittsburgh were notable at the time, too. 

    If Alabama ranked a spot above Miami in the penultimate CFP Rankings, one could surmise it deserves to hold the same spot when compared head-to-head against SMU given the argument is identical. And that may be exactly what happens!

    However, SMU finished as a Power Four conference runner-up in a tightly-contested ACC title game it lost 34-31. If the CFP Selection Committee completely dropped SMU out of the field, it would set a dangerous precedent for conference championship games, which are generally major money makers for leagues. It would essentially incentivize teams to not seek out those opportunities so as not to lose and potentially fall all the way out of the playoff field.

    Alabama got the benefit of the doubt last season as it received the final spot over undefeated Florida State in a decision that still roils the ACC. This time around, the ACC has a better chance of bouncing an SEC team out for the last at-large bid. 

    How will the top three at-large bids shake out?

    The committee doesn’t simply have to decide what to do with ACC championship loser SMU. It also needs to figure out where to put one-loss Notre Dame, SEC runner-up Texas and Big Ten runner-up Penn State. The Fighting Irish were No. 4 in the penultimate CFP Rankings, while the Longhorns were No. 2 (slated for a first-round bye with an SEC win) and the Nittany Lions placed No. 3 as the second Big Ten team behind No. 1 Oregon.

    Texas (11-2) lost to Georgia, 24-19, in the first SEC title game to reach overtime, a contest the Longhorns easily could have won. Penn State (11-2) fell to the Ducks in a one-score 45-37 loss. And then you have Notre Dame (11-1), which did not play Saturday but in theory could slide up if Texas and Penn State both move down.

    Texas’ only two losses are to Georgia, giving it the best defeats of the group; however, Penn State’s two losses (Ohio State, Oregon) are in the same neighborhood. Notre Dame has by far the worst loss to Northern Illinois (7-5), a seventh-place MAC team. That it came at home, too, making it the worst loss of any CFP contender. 

    The ‘Horns are 0-2 against top 25 opponents, a major knock on their resume. The Nittany Lions hold a singular top 25 win (No. 19 Illinois), while the Irish only possesses one top 25 win over AAC champion Army West Point (No. 24). Army’s win Friday night over Tulane only strengthens ND’s argument. 

    Just like with Alabama and SMU, it will be interesting to see whether the committee chooses to penalize teams that competed in league title games, especially ones that were extremely close. Notre Dame has been steadily moving up the rankings in recent weeks, and there’s an argument it should jump Texas and Penn State. It almost certainly would in a normal week. 

    However, in this scenario, it feels more likely that the committee will keep Texas and Penn State ahead of Notre Dame. That’s not an insignificant decision, either, given how the field is shaping up.

    If Notre Dame ends up as the No. 7 seed, that sets up a possible quarterfinal against No. 2 Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. If Notre Dame instead receives the No. 5 or No. 6 seed, it would likely play Boise State or Arizona State in a quarterfinal.

    The tougher question will be how the committee weighs Texas versus Penn State. The resumes are fairly similar, and both lost marquee conference championship games by single scores. Texas was ranked higher than Penn State entering Saturday night, which might end up being the slight edge that puts the ‘Horns in the No. 5 seed.

    Keep on reading for expert picks on slots No. 5-7 in the College Football Playoff field along with which team our CBS Sports college football writers believe will receive the final at-large bid. You can also check out a complete slate of 2024-25 bowl projections from bowls expert Jerry Palm.

    College Football Playoff projection

    The top two seeds of the CFP are all but a formality after Oregon remained undefeated by beating Penn State in the Big Ten Championship Game and Georgia knocked off Texas for the second time this season to win the SEC Championship Game. Boise State (Mountain West) and Arizona State (Big 12) will be the other conference champions who receive byes given Clemson (ACC) has three losses.

    While there is an argument that the Sun Devils should be the No. 3 seed above the Broncos, ASU was ranked five spots lower in the penultimate CFP Rankings. As such, bowls experts Jerry Palm and Brad Crawford both agree the top four seeds — each receiving first-round byes — will shake out as follows:

    1. Oregon (13-0)
    2. Georgia (11-2)
    3. Boise State (12-1)
    4. Arizona State (11-2)

    College Football Playoff expert picks

    Here’s how our college football staff would vote in the key spots — choosing teams Nos. 5-7 and the last at-large bid in the field — if they were members of the CFP Selection Committee.



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  • Aussie lifestyle retailer picks the Philippines as gateway to Asia

    Aussie lifestyle retailer picks the Philippines as gateway to Asia

    LOOK WHO’S SHOPPING Fil-Aussie actress Anne Curtis recently spent two hours shopping for cookware at Anko. —ANKO PHILIPPINES WEBSITE

    LOOK WHO’S SHOPPING Fil-Aussie actress Anne Curtis recently spent two hours shopping for cookware at Anko. —ANKO PHILIPPINES WEBSITE

    When the COVID-19 pandemic forced consumers to stay at home, they embarked on a similar project to adapt to what was known as the “new normal.”

    As they could not spend their days outside, Filipinos became increasingly interested in home makeovers, with hundreds of thousands joining Facebook groups such as “Home Buddies” to share ideas and products.

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    Four years later, the community now has over 3.2 million members, proving that home improvement has become nearly a universal project.

    As a response to this growing interest, the local home decor space has welcomed a new player that could further diversify the choices of consumers.

    Last month, global lifestyle brand Kmart Australia opened Asia’s first Anko store at the Ayala-owned Glorietta 2 in Makati City. The brand proposition is four-pronged: high quality, great design, affordability and ethical sourcing.

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    It now stands to compete with local brands, as well as Sweden’s Ikea and Japan’s Nitori and Muji, in the increasingly competitive home decor space.

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    “Anko Global is Australia’s super loved home and lifestyle store—with the goal of ‘making every day better’ through well-designed, thoughtful, quality products at amazing value,” Mariana Zobel de Ayala, Ayala Land Inc. (ALI) leasing and hospitality head, says in a LinkedIn post.

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    Value for money

    While the home improvement space has been experiencing a global slowdown as people return to their offices, Anko is still keen on capturing the Filipino market through its more affordable selections.

    Anko, which is also present in Canada and New Zealand, among others, currently offers home, beauty, nursery and pet products, as well as arts and crafts, at “irresistibly low” prices.

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    Australian Ambassador to the Philippines Hae Kyong Yu, who was present during the grand opening, lauds the brand for its “absolutely top-quality products” at “a very, very low and affordable price.”

    According to its website, Anko, led by Australian Securities Exchange-listed Wesfarmers Ltd., sells over 1 billion products each year, mainly in Australia and New Zealand.

    “At Anko, we design our own products and deal directly with our manufacturing partners,” the company says. “Due to our scale, ability to work with manufacturers directly and keeping our costs low, we ensure the best possible prices are passed on to our customers.”

    Rejuvenating Ayala Malls

    This comes as ALI pursues a P13-billion plan to renovate and reinvent four major malls—TriNoma in Quezon City, Glorietta and Greenbelt in Makati, and Ayala Center in Cebu—by bringing in new brands, among other strategies. Greenbelt 1, one of its oldest malls, was shuttered on April 1 to start renovation work.

    In the first nine months of the year, recovering demand and consumer activity pulled up the earnings of ALI by 15 percent to P21.2 billion.



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    Shopping center revenues inched up by 7 percent to P16.7 billion. INQ



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  • Oregon vs. Penn State picks, odds

    Oregon vs. Penn State picks, odds

    It has been 52 years since an NFL season ended with an undefeated team. It has been nearly five decades since Bobby Knight’s Hoosiers completed their perfect season. 

    In college football, it is commonplace. 

    Michigan ran the table last season, the fifth national champion in six years to go undefeated. In six of the past nine national title games, both teams entered unbeaten. The BCS era (1998-2013) produced 19 perfect seasons. 

    This season has been an unusually chaotic mess. The highest-ranking teams have been as untrustworthy as any group since the 2007 season, which featured the only two-loss national champion (LSU) of the modern era. 

    The reigning champs (Michigan) suffered as many losses in their first seven games as they had the previous three years. The most dominant team of the decade (Georgia) lost as many games as it had the previous three seasons. The most dominant team of the generation (Alabama) lost its aura without Nick Saban, with its most losses in 14 years. 

    Following a decade when no playoff team had more than one loss, the 12-team field could include as many as eight teams with multiple losses — including Alabama (9-3) — and conclude with one of the least-celebrated champions of the era. 

    Unless Oregon is the last team standing. 

    Following Ohio State’s loss to Michigan, No. 1 Oregon (12-0) — the nation’s top-ranked team for seven straight weeks — has finally become the betting favorite for the national championship, a decade after losing the first College Football Playoff title game. 

    The Ducks have been building toward this moment. Under Dan Lanning — who won a national championship as an assistant at Alabama and another as Georgia’s defensive coordinator — Oregon went 10-3 in his first season. The Ducks went 12-2 last season, with those losses coming by a total of six points against the national championship runner-up (Washington). 

    This year’s group has won by an average of nearly 20 points per game, defeating No. 6 Ohio State, No. 10 Boise State and No. 21 Illinois. Oregon again boasts one of the best offensive lines in the nation, allowing just five sacks in its past 10 games. Graduate transfer — and one-time Heisman favorite — Dillon Gabriel became the NCAA’s all-time leader for total touchdowns. The Ducks defense ranks among the top 10 units in the nation, most recently recording 10 sacks against Washington, while limiting star running back Jonah Coleman to three yards rushing. 

    The choice in the Big Ten title game is simple: Oregon (-3.5), the most consistent team in the country, or James Franklin, who has ridden an ultra-soft schedule to his 21st meeting at Penn State against a top 10 opponent (2-18). 

    Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin reacts during the third quarter of Penn State’s home victory over Maryland on Nov. 30, 2024. AP

    Western Kentucky (+3.5) over JACKSONVILLE STATE

    The Hilltoppers on Saturday knocked off the Gamecocks, whose coach, Rich Rodriguez, is surrounded by rumors he will soon leave the program. Even if Jacksonville State quarterback Tyler Huff — a game-time decision — returns from an ankle injury, the dual-threat quarterback will be limited in what he does best in the rematch. 

    Unlv (+4) over BOISE STATE

    The Broncos won last year’s Mountain West Championship with ease against UNLV. This season, Boise State went to Las Vegas and left with a win. UNLV, though, has the ingredients to pull the upset, with a top-15 run defense that held Heisman candidate Ashton Jeanty to his worst performance of the season (3.9 yards per carry). The Broncos deserved a chance to play for a national championship under Chris Petersen, but now carry the weight of Idaho against a team with eight straight road wins. 

    Black Knights quarterback Bryson Daily runs with the ball during Army’s 29-24 home win over UTSA on Nov. 30, 2024. Danny Wild-Imagn Images

    ARMY (+4.5) over Tulane

    A team stacked with players raised below the Mason-Dixon Line won’t enjoy the freezing temperatures beside the Hudson River. The tougher team will be made clear in the trenches, where Tulane’s defensive line has been pushed around in all three of its losses, allowing an average of 211 yards rushing. In leading the nation’s best ground game, Bryson Daily will wrap up his incredible career at West Point with an unforgettable AAC Championship performance. 

    Arizona State (-2.5) over Iowa State

    The Cyclones achieved their first 10-win season in school history, with one of the softest schedules in the Big 12 and the league’s top-scoring defense, averaging nearly two takeaways per game. The Sun Devils, tied for seventh in the nation in fewest turnovers, would be wise to ride criminally under-discussed star running back Cam Skattebo against a defense ranked 112th against the run. 

    Miami (Ohio) (-3) over Ohio

    Sixth-year Redhawks quarterback Brett Gabbert will claim his third MAC title (second consecutive). Miami’s 30-20 win in the rivalry in October is more impressive than the box score suggests, having allowed a pair of garbage-time touchdowns to the Bobcats. 

    Carson Beck throws a pass during the second half of Georgia’s win over Florida on Nov. 2, 2024. AP

    Georgia (+2.5) over Texas

    The Longhorns faced one team this season that currently has a number next to its name. That game, in Austin, ended with Georgia handing Texas the worst home loss, 30-15, of a No. 1 team in 42 years. The Bulldogs received their wake-up call in the eight-overtime thriller against Georgia Tech and will find the form of the team with three double-digit wins over potential playoff teams (Texas, Tennessee, Clemson). Carson Beck has recovered from his midseason slump, throwing 11 touchdowns with no interceptions in the past three games. He carries an 8-3 career record against ranked teams into a de facto home game in Atlanta. 

    Marshall (+5.5) over LOUISIANA

    The Thundering Herd can limit how much Louisiana’s explosive offense has the ball, with a ground game averaging nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Defensive lineman Mike Green can also disrupt the Cajuns’ rhythm, entering a half-sack shy (16) of the most in the nation. Marshall is 4-0 against the spread as an underdog this season. 

    Betting on College Football?

    Smu (-2.5) over Clemson

    The line opened with the Tigers as the favorite, but the brand name isn’t fooling anyone anymore. No. 17 Clemson (9-3) has no business being anywhere near the playoff, reaching the ACC Championship without earning one win over any of the other six teams with a winning record in the conference. SMU’s (11-1) elite defensive front will keep the offense of Clemson — averaging less than 21 points in its past four games — scuffling. 

    Best bets: Oregon, Unlv, Arizona State 
    This season: 111-98-1 (17-24-1) 
    2014-23 record: 1,272-1,206-30

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  • Utah Hockey Club at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

    The Utah Hockey Club (8-9-3) meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (12-6-2) Sunday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Utah Hockey Club vs. Maple Leafsodds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

    Season series: First meeting; Maple Leafs won 2-0 in 2023-24 vs. Arizona  Coyotes

    The Utah Hockey Club make the third stop of a 4-game road trip in this standalone game Sunday, and it is playing on no rest. Utah picked up a 6-1 win in Pittsburgh over the Penguins as a moderate favorite (-130) as the Over (6) cashed on Saturday.

    Utah is playing its first game on no rest this season. Last season, when the team was located in Arizona, it was 5-4-0 when playing on no rest with a plus-1 goal differential, while the Over was also 5-4-0.

    The Maple Leafs blanked the Vegas Golden Knights 3-0 last time out on Wednesday behind G Joseph Woll, who kicked aside all 31 shots he faced. C Fraser Minten was credited with the game-winning goal, while C William Nylander had a power-play goal, and RW Pontus Holmberg had an empty-net goal.

    Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+, with your team’s out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+ now!

    Utah Hockey Club at Maple Leafs odds

    Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.

    • Moneyline (ML): Utah Hockey Club +158 (bet $100 to win $158) | Maple Leafs -192 (bet $192 to win $100)
    • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Utah Hockey Club +1.5 (-160) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130)
    • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +114 | U: -140)

    Utah Hockey Club at Maple Leafs projected goalies

    Karel Vejmelka (2-5-0, 2.21 GAA, .927 SV%) vs. Joseph Woll (4-2-0, 2.00 GAA, .922 SV%, 1 SO)

    Vejmelka started Saturday’s game in Pittsburgh, and he might be pressed into action with no rest. That’s because Connor Ingram is nursing an upper-body injury, and he is considered day to day. The team recalled Jaxson Stauber from Tucson of the AHL on an emergency basis.

    If Stauber makes his Utah debut, it would be his first NHL appearance since 2022-23 when he was with the Chicago Blackhawks. He was 5-1-0 with a 2.81 GAA and .911 SV% in his first 6 NHL starts.

    Woll has won 3 consecutive starts since Nov. 9, and he has allowed just 4 goals on 79 shots in the span. He has a 1.74 GAA and .931 SV% in 4 outings in November.

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    Utah Hockey Club at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

    Prediction

    Maple Leafs 4, Utah Hockey League 2

    Moneyline

    The Maple Leafs (-192) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too much risk, even if the Utah Hockey Club (+158) is in a tough spot.

    Utah was impressive in Pittsburgh on Saturday, but it is facing a goalie crunch. Whether it uses Vejmelka again for a second straight day, or the AHL recall Stauber, the Utah Hockey Club cannot be trusted.

    AVOID.

    Puck line/Against the spread

    The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+130) are a better play laying the goal and a half at plus-money.

    Toronto picked up the 3-0 win against the Vegas Golden Knights behind Woll on Wednesday, and it is well rested.

    On the flip side, the Utah Hockey Club +1.5 (-170) is back on no rest, and whether it’s Vejmelka or Stauber in between the pipes, this team is in a bad way playing on no rest against a team which hasn’t played since Wednesday.

    Over/Under

    The UNDER 6.5 (+110) is an intriguing play at plus-money.

    Yes, Utah is coming back on no rest after playing Saturday in the Steel City, and it posted the Over in that victory. However, the Under has cashed at a 4-2-2 clip in the previous 8 games, and it is 10-4-2 in the past 16 outings.

    For the Maple Leafs, the Under cashed last time out against VGK, while the total has gone low at a 6-2 pace in the previous 8 games.

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    For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

    Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X andlike us on Facebook.

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  • College Football Picks, Week 13 Odds, TV Schedule And CFP Top 25 Including Indiana At Ohio State

    College Football Picks, Week 13 Odds, TV Schedule And CFP Top 25 Including Indiana At Ohio State

    The biggest games continue in the closing weeks of the college football season as the push towards the 12-team College Football Playoff shakes out in the final two weeks of the regular season. Also, the most emotional and biggest rivalray games are approaching for many teams, making November football the most watched and wagered month ahead of the college bowl season.

    Key CFB Top 25 games on Saturday, Nov. 23 include the Big Ten battle between No. 2 Ohio State and No. 5 Indiana. ESPN College GameDay will be in Columbus providing additional coverage and picks, along with more below.

    CFP Top 25 Week 13 Matchups, Odds and TV Schedule

    College football odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Bet types, odds and terms with listed point spreads on favorites. All times Eastern.

    Saturday, Nov. 23

    • No. 1 Oregon | Bye
    • No. 2 Ohio State (-10.5) vs. No. 5 Indiana | 1 p.m. | FOX
    • No. 3 Texas (-20.5) vs. Kentucky | 3:30 p.m. | ABC/ESPN+
    • No. 4 Penn State (-11.5) at Minnesota | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
    • No. 6 Notre Dame (-14.5) vs. No. 19 Army | 7 p.m. | NBC (Yankee Stadium at the Bronx, NY)
    • No. 7 Alabama (-14.5) at Oklahoma | 7:30 p.m. | ABC/ESPN+
    • No. 8 Miami (-24.5) vs. Wake Forest | 12 p.m. | ESPN
    • No. 9 Ole Miss (-12.5) at Florida | 12 p.m. | ABC/ESPN+
    • No. 10 Georgia (-42.5) vs. UMASS | 12: 45 p.m. | SEC Network
    • No. 11 Tennessee (-41.5) vs. UTEP | 1 p.m.| ESPN+/SECN
    • No. 12 Boise State (-22.5) at Wyoming | 7 p.m. | CBSSN
    • No. 13 SMU (-10.5) at Virginia | 12 p.m. | ESPN2
    • No. 14 BYU at No. 21 Arizona State (-3.5) | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN
    • No. 15 Texas A&M (-2.5) at Auburn | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN
    • No. 16 Colorado (-2.5) vs. Kansas | 3:30 p.m.| FOX (at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
    • No. 17 Clemson (-49.5) vs. The Citadel | 3:30 p.m. | The CW
    • No. 18 South Carolina (-42.5) vs. Wofford | 4 p.m. | ESPN+/SECN+
    • No. 20 Tulane | Bye
    • No. 22 Iowa State (-6.5) at Utah | 7:30 p.m. | FOX
    • No. 23 Missouri (-8.5) at Mississippi State | 4:15 p.m. | SEC Network
    • No. 24 UNLV (-7.5) at San Jose State (Friday) | 10 p.m. | FS1
    • No. 25 Illinois at Rutgers (-1.5) | 12 p.m. | Peacock

    Rivalry games and spreads include:

    • Stanford at Cal (-14.5) | 3:30 p.m. | ACC Network
    • USC (-4.5) at UCLA | 10:30 p.m. | NBC

    Indiana At Ohio State

    The undefeated Hoosiers (10-0), who won 3-games last season, are the story of college football this season under first-year head coach Curt Cignetti. Indiana enters this showdown off a bye and a double-digit underdog to Ohio State (9-1). The spread has been bet down from -12 to -10.5 favoring the Buckeyes. Indiana is No. 1 in the country in scoring margin, but they’ve played a softer schedule. Still, the Hoosiers have been rewarding bettors with an 8-2 against the spread (ATS) mark, which is tied with five other teams for best in the country.

    Pro Football Focus provides matchup analysis of Indiana vs. Ohio State, and additional analysis in YouTube previewing the biggest games in college football on Saturday, Nov. 23. While Ohio State has a dominant defense allowing just 251 yards per game at 4.1 yards per play (both No. 2 in country), Indiana is right behind the Buckeyes allowing 270 ypg at 4.2 yppl. Pro Football Focus notes that Indiana marries the coverage with pass rush perhaps the best in the country. Indiana also has PFF’s best offensive grade in the country from Power Four teams, best receiving grade, top-10 pass blocking grade and QB Kurtis Rourke has the best passing grade. Ohio State has the No. 1 defense in college football, per PFF, and top-7 defensive pass coverage grade.

    Army vs. Notre Dame

    Army (9-0) is shooting for its first undefeated season since 1946. Playbook Sports midweek report provides added support for the Cadet’s No. 1 ranked rushing offense, averaging 330 yards per game vs. FBS opponents. The Black Knights allow just 10.8 points per game and 273 yards per game. Notre Dame (9-1) also has a dominant defense allowing 11.3 points per game and 277 yards per game. Army is one of only three FBS teams to win the stats in every game they’ve played this season.

    BYU at Arizona State

    BYU (9-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week vs. Kansas, 17-13. But the Cougars are 6-1 in Big 12 play and still control their destiny to the Big 12 championship game, along with Colorado (6-1). Arizona State (8-2) is 5-2 in conference play and on a 3-0 SU/ATS run ahead of this game in Tempe and next week’s rivalry game vs. Arizona in Tucson. The Sun Devils are also 5-0 SU/ATS at home, but statistically don’t warrant their high stock and 8-2 ATS mark overall with a +0.7 net yards per play margin to BYU’s +1.2.

    Friday, Nov. 29

    • Georgia Tech at Georgia (-20.5)

    Saturday, Nov. 30

    • NC State at North Carolina (-5.5)
    • Duke (-3.5) at Wake Forest
    • South Carolina at Clemson (-2.5)
    • Tennessee (-12.5) at Vanderbilt
    • Michigan at Ohio State (-23.5)
    • Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5)
    • Washington at Oregon (-18.5)
    • Notre Dame (-6.5) at USC
    • Florida (-13.5) at Florida State
    • Auburn at Alabama (-14.5)
    • Louisville (-3.5) at Kentucky
    • Texas (-7.5) at Texas A&M

    Follow all the matchups, odds and college football betting news and predictions including Week 13 best bets as the popularity of college football and sports betting continues to flourish and provide fans more excitement and engagement in the games.

    You can bet on it.

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  • Colorado vs. Utah, more picks against the spread

    Colorado vs. Utah, more picks against the spread

    Deion Sanders was everything wrong with the sport. Then, he was the toast of it. He was put in his place. Then, he started another victory lap.

    Sanders’ two seasons at Colorado have shared striking resemblances to his career as a two-sport star — in which he could be seen as underappreciated and magnetic, or overrated and off-putting.

    Sanders’ method of rebuilding a program in shambles — inheriting a one-win team — was shameful, in which the coach essentially expunged the roster and brought 118 new scholarship players to campus in two recruiting/transfer cycles.

    Last year brought praise, then mockery, as the Buffaloes started 3-0 then finished 4-8 and in last place in the Pac-12. This year, Colorado is in position to reach the College Football Playoff, and Sanders is considered a candidate to jump to the NFL, after his son, Shedeur, is selected with one of the top picks in the draft.

    Despite the return of Heisman frontrunner Travis Hunter, another roster overhaul and the hiring of two new coordinators, Colorado didn’t appear set up for great success this season. It opened with a five-point win against North Dakota State. It suffered an 18-point loss at Nebraska. It needed a Hail Mary to avoid a loss to Baylor.

    Now, the Buffaloes need three more wins to reach the Big 12 title game. But like the start of last season, the hype is overblown.

    Colorado lost its only game against a ranked opponent (Kansas State). It has avoided the other four teams fighting for a Big 12 championship berth. It will finish with the easiest schedule in the conference. 

    The Buffaloes currently own the nation’s fourth-worst rushing attack, an offensive line that can’t be trusted, a defense too reliant on turnovers and special teams units ranked outside the top 100. Their only meetings with top-50 defenses resulted in Colorado’s two losses this season.

    Utah (+11.5) is too banged up to end its five-game losing streak, but its top-15 defense — allowing fewer than 20 points per game — may foreshadow the end of Sanders’ second honeymoon. 

    Green Wave head coach Jon Sumrall reacts during the first half of Tulane’s 34-19 loss to Oklahoma earlier this season. Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

    Tulane (-7) over NAVY

    Jon Sumrall’s first season at Tulane is right on schedule. The former Troy coach, who has never lost a regular season game after Sept. 17, has led the Green Wave (7-1 against the spread as a favorite) to seven straight wins by an average of nearly 28 points per game.

    Ohio State (-28.5) over NORTHWESTERN

    The Buckeyes defense hasn’t allowed a touchdown in three weeks. The thrill of playing in one of the country’s most beloved stadiums (Wrigley Field) should help prevent Ohio State from looking ahead to next week’s matchup with Indiana.

    ARKANSAS (+13.5) over Texas

    Shed a tear for the Southwest Conference and celebrate the renewal of an historic rivalry. The Hogs, quietly a top-10 offense, present the greatest challenge the Longhorns’ top-ranked defense has seen. Let’s find out how much of Texas’ defensive success is due to facing no power conference offenses ranked inside the top 50.

    Longhorns defensive back Jahdae Barron celebrates after a play during Texas’ 49-17 win over Florida on Nov. 9, 2024. Mikala Compton/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

    PITTSBURGH (+10) over Clemson

    Neither side inspires much confidence at the moment. Neither side has proven much. When in doubt, take the points.

    Penn State (-28.5) over PURDUE

    The Nittany Lions haven’t scored more than 35 points in any of their seven games against power conference opponents, but they might not need to. The nation’s third-ranked defense could post a shutout against the Boilermakers — the nation’s fourth-worst offense — as Ohio State and Oregon both did.

    Virginia (+22.5) over NOTRE DAME

    The Cavaliers are 3-0 against the spread as underdogs, coming off an outright upset at Pittsburgh. Though they boast one of the nation’s worst secondaries, Irish quarterback Riley Leonard won’t take advantage, averaging one touchdown pass and 175 yards passing per game.


    Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Riley Leonard (13) leaves the field following a 52-3 victory over the Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Stadium.
    Quarterback Riley Leonard is all smiles after Notre Dame’ s 52-3 win over Florida State on Nov. 9, 2024. Matt Cashore-Imagn Images

    Boston College (+18.5) over SMU

    The Mustangs sit alone atop the ACC. Yes, they are in the ACC. No, it still makes no sense.

    Lsu (-4.5) over FLORIDA

    Even if DJ Lagway plays, the dual-threat QB isn’t going to pull a Jalen Milroe with a bad hamstring.

    Missouri (+12.5) over SOUTH CAROLINA

    The Gamecocks have been one of the most impressive teams in the past month. The Tigers lost their starting center for the season. Quarterback Brady Cook could be sidelined, too. Still, this number is too large for Shane Beamer, who has never won four straight SEC games and is 0-3 all time against Eli Drinkwitz.

    Broncos running back Ashton Jeanty runs down the field during Boise State’s 28-21 win over Nevada on Nov. 9, 2024. Brian Losness-Imagn Images

    SAN JOSE STATE (+13.5) over Boise State

    The pressure only grows for the Broncos, who are one slipup away from playoff elimination. Ashton Jeanty’s worst game of the year came against UNLV, which is tied for the Mountain West lead for the fewest yards allowed per carry (3.6). San Jose State shares the honor.

    Arizona State (+9.5) over KANSAS STATE

    The Wildcats, coming off two of their worst performances of the season, are an upset candidate against the surprising Sun Devils, led by 34-year-old coach Kenny Dillingham. Even if Arizona State falls short, its balanced offense could storm through the back door.

    Oregon (-14) over WISCONSIN

    Dillon Gabriel will take the spotlight as he adds to his FBS touchdown record, before the Ducks defense prevents the Badgers from padding their stats. Oregon has allowed an average of fewer than seven second-half points over its past five games, winning every game over the past two months — besides its heavyweight bout with Ohio State — by at least three touchdowns.

    Betting on College Football?

    Tennessee (+10.5) over GEORGIA

    Pretend Kirby Smart is coaching at a different school. If not for the jerseys, it’d be easy to see this is not the Bulldogs of years past. There is no bigger reason why than the free fall of Carson Beck, who is tied for the most interceptions (12) in the nation. It isn’t wise to lay double-digit points with a team that has covered one of eight games as a favorite and is facing a defense that hasn’t allowed 20 points in a game this season.

    BYU (-3) over Kansas

    The Jayhawks have the talent to pull another upset, but the unbeaten Cougars deserve the benefit of the doubt against a team that is 0-4 on the road, whose season has been defined by collapses in the clutch.

    Best bets: Utah, Arkansas, Tennessee
    Season: 84-80-1 (12-20-1)
    2014-23 record: 1,272-1,206-30

    Why Trust New York Post Betting

    Howie Kussoy has long been the New York Post’s main handicapper in college basketball (since 2011) and college football (since 2013).

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  • NFL Picks, Props And Odds For Week 10 Monday Night Football Dolphins-Rams

    NFL Picks, Props And Odds For Week 10 Monday Night Football Dolphins-Rams

    An interconference clash completes Week 10 of NFL action when the Miami Dolphins (2-6) tackle the Los Angeles Rams (4-4) at SoFi Stadium. Leading online sportsbooks report the Rams are taking more that 80% of the spread bets and money in an expeted higher scoring game.

    The week started with nine NFL teams sporting just 2-wins, and now the NFL standings show six including the Dolphins (five in AFC) after the Patriots, Panthers and Saints all won as underdogs to pick up their third win. Favorites are 8-5 straight up but just 3-10 against the spread (ATS) in Week 10 into the Dolphins-Rams MNF game.

    Monday Night Football Odds

    Pro football odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Bet types, odds and betting terms with listed point spreads on favorites.

    Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5), Over/Under 48.5 points

    Kickoff is at 8:15pm ET on ABC and ESPN, and streamed online at ESPN+ and NFL plus.

    Division Leaders

    AFC

    AFC division leaders include the Buffalo Bills (8-2), Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2), Houston Texans (6-4) and Kansas City Chiefs (9-0), who remain undefeated after escaping with another win. A blocked short field goal on the final play against the Denver Broncos Sunday sent Chiefs players and fans into a frenzy.

    The Baltimore Ravens (7-3) are just 1/2 game behind the Steelers (7-2) in the AFC North in the tightest AFC division race. The Ravens lead the league in scoring, averaging 31.8 points per game following their thrilling 35-34 Thursday Night Football win over division foe Cincinnati Bengals to kick off Week 10 action.

    NFC

    Philaelphia Eagles (7-2), Detroit Lions (8-1), Atlanta Falcons (6-4) and Arizona Cardinals (6-4) are current NFC division leaders. The Lions also escaped Sunday with a 26-23 win on a last second 52-yard field goal after trailing the Houston Texans 23-7 at halftime. Another controversial penalty (pass interference) was not called against the Lions on the Texans final drive that resulted in a long missed 58-yard field goal to set up a short field and the Lions final drive to victory.

    Three tight divison races in the NFC show the Lions (8-1) one-game in front of the Minnesota Vikings (7-2) in the NFC North. The Cardinals (6-4) lead the NFC West by a half game over the San Francisco 49ers (5-4) and LA Rams (4-4) if they win Monday. The Washington Commanders (7-3) fell a half game behind the Eagles (7-2) in the NFC East following the Commanders 28-27 loss to the Steelers Sunday with another Week 10 player prop winner posted on Forbes.

    The Week 11 matchups and odds are posted by sportsbooks. The Commanders and Eagles kickoff the action Thursday, Nov. 14 with a first place showdown in Philadelphia and the Eagles a 3-point favorite.

    Dolphins-Rams Matchups And Props

    Bob Stoll of Dr. Bob Sports provides additional matchups and advance stats for the Dolphins-Rams matchup with information you can bet on. The updated injury report and media updates show Dolphins star WR Tyreek Hill (wrist) as a game-time decision to play.

    • Miami’s offense was a trainwreck without Tua Tagovailoa but they’ve only been 14th in EPA per play with the starting quarterback on the field which is well below last season when they averaged 0.10 EPA/play (4th).
    • The Dolphins haven’t been able to get WR Tyreek Hill going as he’s averaging nearly 2 yards per route run less than last year. WR Jaylen Waddle is averaging 0.59 EPA/target (7th) but this might not be the game for Miami’s offense to feature the wide receivers.
    • The Rams are surrendering a league-high 67% success rate to opposing tight ends and will struggle with TE Jonnu Smith, who has a 66% success rate (2nd).
    • Dolphins RB De’Von Achane is averaging 0.17 EPA/target (2nd) and the screen game will be clicking against a Rams defense, who are worst in the NFL allowing a 66% receiving success rate to opposing running backs.
    • Los Angeles edge rusher Jared Verse’s 39 pressures are the most for a rookie through the first nine weeks of the season in five years, but he will be shut down by LT Terron Armstead, who ranks 3rd in pass blocking efficiency.
    • Miami’s defense has a league-high 42% pressure rate, and the Rams will be without starting RT Rob Havenstein, who ranks 20th in pass-blocking efficiency. Backup Warren McClendon is surrendering an 11% pressure rate. Rams QB Matthew Stafford has thrown 78 passes over the past two games without a sack.
    • Los Angeles leads the NFL with a 78% motion rate but the Dolphins’ yards per pass play allowed against motion is a league-low 83% compared to no motion from the opposing offense.
    • Miami CB Jalen Ramsey conceding 0.73 yards per cover snap (7th) and he will contain WR Cooper Kupp, who is averaging 2.19 yards per route run (11th). WR Puka Nacua will be limited by Dolphins’ cornerback Kendall Fuller, who is allowing just 0.66 yards per cover snap (4th).
    • Our model favors the Rams by 2.4 points with a predicted total of 53.4.

    The Dolphins have lost three straight games since their bye week, despite winning the stats by a net margin of 30 yards per contest. That includes the last two games with QB Tua Tagovailoa returning from a Week 2 concussion and the Dolphins losing 30-27 and 28-27 to the first place Bills and Cardinals. The Rams have won 3-in-a-row including 30-20 over the Vikings and last week in Seattle, a 26-20 overtime win to keep the Rams challenging for an NFC West title.

    Player Props and Picks

    • MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa passing yards: Over/Under 244.5
    • LA QB Matthew Stafford passing yards: O/U 250.5
    • MIA RB De’Von Achane rushing yards: O/U 56.5, receiving 42.5
    • MIA RB Raheem Mostert rushing yards: O/U 32.5, receiving 7.5
    • LA RB Kyren williams rushing yards: O/U 84.5
    • MIA TE Jonnu Smith receiving yards: O/U 34.5, receptions 3.5
    • LA WR Puka Nacua receiving yards: O/U 67.5, receptions 5.5
    • LA WR Cooper Kupp receiving yards: O/U 66.5, receptions 5.5
    • LA WR Demarcus Robinson receiving yards: O/U 27.5, receptn 2.5

    The player prop picks posted on these NFL betting preview pages at Forbes have been scoring and cashing in Week 4, Week 5, Week 6, Week 7, Week 8, Week 9 and Week 10.

    Prop Bets: Dolphins RB De’Von Archane’s receiving yards prop has been bet up from O/U 39.5 to 42.5 on FanDuel and even 46.5 on DraftKings sportsbook. That shows the discrepancy in numbers and the importance of shopping numbers and sportsbooks when wagering. Can’t advise betting into that rising number, althouth many receiving yards props posted here have sailed over the players prop numbers. Instead, Achane Over 5.5 receptions (+100) is a bet. Achane leads Dolphins in receptions (37) this season, and he had 8 and 6 receptions the past two games with Tua Tagovailoa back at quarterback. Now the matchups look even more favorable against the Rams as noted above and especially if Tyreek Hill does not play.

    If you’re betting on Rams receivers props of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Kupp has more favorable matchups as the slot receiver with the Dolphins defense allowing the eighth-highest percentage of targets go to the slot receiver. Puka Nacua under 5.5 receptions is a preferred play, but another bet of more interest is Rams TE Colby Parkinson under 18.5 receiving yards. He had zero targets or receptions last week against the Seahawks as his usage and plays on the field have declined the past two games after also catching just two passes for 17 yards against the Vikings and two receptions against the Raiders three games ago. The two receptions by Rams tight ends last game against the Seahawks went to backups. Too many other preferred options for QB Matthew Stafford, and Parkinson’s O/U receptions is just 1.5.

    Following the Miami-LA Monday Night Football game, the Dolphins return home to tackle the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) while the Rams hit the road to Foxboro and play the New England Patriots (3-7).

    More sports betting news, stats, MNF player props and information you can bet on as the NFL draws more watch and wager action with player props driving additional engagement, entertainment and interest.

    You can bet on it.

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  • Ole Miss vs. Georgia, more picks against the spread

    Ole Miss vs. Georgia, more picks against the spread

    Lane Kiffin has packed a lot into the past two decades. 

    He was the son of the father (Monte) of the famed Tampa 2 defense; the assistant who worked with Pete Carroll, Matt Leinart and Reggie Bush; the 31-year-old hired by Al Davis to lead the Raiders; the coach who ditched Tennessee after one year; was fired by USC on an airport tarmac; who joined forces with Nick Saban to win one national championship; and was booted the week before another national title game. 

    Kiffin, 49, is a social media troll and a traditional media favorite, a much-needed character in a sport of robots, a brilliant play-caller whose teams are as consistently entertaining as any him. 

    But when a season-defining game arrives, the most unpredictable coach in the country spoils the ending. 

    Kiffin is 1-11 in his career against top-five teams. He is 3-15 against top-10 teams. He is James Franklin with a sense of humor. 

    Ole Miss entered this season No. 6 in the nation, its highest preseason ranking in 54 years. After steamrolling through their annual soft nonconference schedule, the Rebels stumbled at home against 15th-ranked Kentucky. Then, Ole Miss lost to LSU. 

    If Kiffin is to make his first playoff appearance as a head coach, Ole Miss must now defeat Georgia. It was the same situation the Rebels faced last year, when the Bulldogs ran away with a 52-17 victory. 

    The gap between the teams has closed this year, because of Carson Beck’s regression and a Georgia defense that hasn’t lived up to its reputation, but the best team of the decade remains the safest bet in the sport. The team that demolished Clemson and won at No. 1 Texas would be undefeated if not for “a miracle half when Michael Vick showed up,” Kiffin admitted this week, referring to Alabama’s Jalen Milroe. 

    It has been four years since Georgia (-2.5, -110 BetMGM) has lost to any team besides Alabama. Eventually, that will change. 

    But are you really willing to bet on one of the sport’s worst big game coaches to be the one to do it? 

    Georgia quarterback Carson Beck (15) throws a pass during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Florida, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024, in Jacksonville, Fla. AP

    Purdue (+37.5) over OHIO STATE

    The Buckeyes are currently the betting favorite to win the national championship. Should it happen, Chip Kelly and Will Howard won’t be the biggest reasons why. The Buckeyes haven’t topped 38 points in a Big Ten game this season. 

    GEORGIA TECH (+11.5 ) over Miami

    The Hurricanes are like a political ad, both scary and persuasive. But if you fact-check, you’ll find that Miami isn’t like other unbeatens, barely surviving four of its past five games due to its below average defense. 

    Florida (+21.5) over TEXAS

    Here’s to holding out hope that DJ Lagway is able to play. If not, here’s to also knowing that Texas’ star-studded quarterback room hasn’t matched its billing, leading the Longhorns to fewer than 30 points per game against Power Four opponents. 

    Florida quarterback DJ Lagway (2) throws a pass during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Georgia, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024, in Jacksonville, Fla. AP

    VIRGINIA TECH (+6.5) over Clemson

    We should’ve seen the banana peel coming. It has been four years since Clemson has finished in the top 10. After being exposed by Louisville, the Tigers — who have the ACC’s ninth-ranked defense — reminded us that they have not beaten any team with a winning conference record. 

    INDIANA (-14.5) over Michigan

    Nothing to see here, just the defending champs getting two touchdowns against a team it has lost to just twice since Mickey Mantle retired and beat by 45 last year. The Hoosiers (9-0) boast the best scoring margin in the nation (plus-27.8). 

    Colorado (-3.5) over TEXAS TECH

    Deion Sanders will be a fixture on your screen again. The Big 12 is suddenly up for grabs, and the Buffaloes control their path to the league title game. Receiver Travis Hunter’s Heisman moment could come against the nation’s 124th-ranked pass defense. 

    Colorado Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders walks the sidelines in the second half against the Cincinnati Bearcats at Folsom Field. Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

    MISSOURI (+2.5) over Oklahoma

    Before the books factored in that the Tigers would play backup quarterback Drew Pyne — who went 8-2 as Notre Dame’s starter in 2022, including a 4-1 mark against ranked teams — the Sooners were listed as underdogs for the sixth time this season. Welcome to the SEC. You are now Arkansas. 

    OREGON (-25.5) over Maryland

    Maryland is 0-9 against top-10 teams under Mike Locksley, losing by an average of 28 points per game. Is there hope this time? Well, a recent gathering of Maryland alumni centered on whether the Terrapins would make the playoff in the next 50 years. No one said yes. 

    Florida State (+25.5) over NOTRE DAME

    Let’s call this the “Austin Powers,” for those who “also like to live dangerously” by staying on 5 in blackjack. Much help is needed. 

    Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) carries the ball for a first down against the Missouri Tigers during the first half at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Butch Dill-Imagn Images

    Alabama (-3) over LSU

    The Tigers have no answer to slow Jalen Milroe, who ran for 155 yards and four touchdowns last year. Instead of countering with Jayden Daniels, Brian Kelly now must rely on Garrett Nussmeier, who has thrown five interceptions with a sub-47 completion percentage, in two games against ranked SEC opponents. 

    Mississippi State (+23.5) over TENNESSEE

    There have been 17 double-digit underdogs in SEC play. All but two covered the spread. The Volunteers haven’t topped 28 points in league play. The Bulldogs are good for at least five.

    Washington (+13.5) over PENN STATE

    The Huskies have been horrific on the road, but their underrated defense — which most recently held Indiana to a season low in scoring and USC to its second-lowest output — could keep it close against the latest iteration of the Nittany Lions’ underwhelming attack. 

    Betting on College Football?

    BOISE STATE (-24.5) over Nevada

    The No. 12 Broncos own their best ranking in 13 years and have won their home games by an average of nearly 32 points. Ashton Jeanty needs at least another 200 on the ground to keep his Heisman hopes alive. 

    Byu (-4) over UTAH

    There is no reason to throw out the records in this rivalry game. Rock bottom has arrived for the Utes — the Big 12 preseason favorite — who have failed to score 20 points during their four-game losing streak. The absence of Cam Rising sets up the undefeated Cougars for their first win in Salt Lake City since 2006. 

    BEST BETS: Georgia, Colorado, Mississippi State. 

    SEASON: 79-70-1 (10-19-1). 

    2014-23 RECORD: 1,272-1,206-30.

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